Weekly update - 13 December 2018

​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​Weekly ​Australian Climate,
Water and Agricultural Update

Key issues

  • During the week ending 12 December 2018 rainfall was recorded across parts of northern, western and south-eastern Australia.
  • In cropping regions, little or no rainfall was recorded during the week ending 12 December 2018. Falls of between 1 and 15 millimetres were recorded across scattered areas in New South Wales, Victoria, South Australia, Western Australia and parts of northern Queensland.
  • For the week ending 11 December 2018, maximum and minimum temperatures were 2°C to 8°C above average across a broad band extending from tropical northern Australia through to Tasmania.
  • During the next eight days, rainfall is expected across all states and territories, with the heaviest falls forecast for eastern and northern Australia.
  • Two weather systems are currently coming together to create a significant weather event for eastern Australia, with the Bureau of Meteorology issuing severe weather warnings in several states.
  • During the next eight days, rainfall totals in excess of 50 millimetres are forecast for parts of eastern New South Wales, southern Victoria, large areas of eastern and northern Queensland and parts of the far north of the Northern Territory.
  • In summer cropping regions, rainfall of between 10 and 50 millimetres is expected across most of northern New South Wales and western areas in Queensland, with heavier falls of between 50 and 100 millimetres expected across the remainder of Queensland and the far north-east on New South Wales.
  • Water storage levels in the Murray–Darling Basin (MDB) decreased during the week ending 13 December 2018 by 202 gigalitres (GL) to 11,998 GL and are at 47 per cent of total capacity.
  • Allocation prices in the southern Murray-Darling Basin increased in the week ending 3 December 2018 to $381 per ML.

Climate

[expand all]

Rainfall this week

During the week ending 12 December 2018 rainfall was recorded across parts of northern, western and south-eastern Australia. Rainfall totals of between 10 and 50 millimetres were recorded across scattered areas of eastern New South Wales, northern and eastern Victoria, parts of northern Queensland, parts of western South Australia, parts of northern and central Western Australia, and the north of the Northern Territory.

Higher rainfall totals in excess of 50 millimetres were recorded across northern Queensland and the north of the Northern Territory.

In cropping regions, little or no rainfall was recorded during the week ending 12 December 2018. Falls of between 1 and 15 millimetres were recorded across scattered areas in New South Wales, Victoria, South Australia, Western Australia and parts of northern Queensland.

Rainfall analysis for the week ending 12 December 2018

Map showing weekly rainfall totals in Australia. Image provided by the Bureau of Meteorology. Please refer to accompanying text for a more detailed description. 

©Commonwealth of Australia 2018, Australian Bureau of Meteorology - Issued: 12/12/2018

Note: The rainfall analyses and associated maps utilise data contained in the Bureau of Meteorology climate database, the Australian Data Archive for Meteorology (ADAM). The analyses are initially produced automatically from real-time data with limited quality control. They are intended to provide a general overview of rainfall across Australia as quickly as possible after the observations are received. For further information go to Weekly Rainfall Update.

Temperature anomalies this week

For the week ending 11 December 2018, maximum and minimum temperatures were 2°C to 8°C above average across a broad band extending from tropical northern Australia through to Tasmania. For the remainder of the country maximum and minimum temperatures were generally average for the week ending 11 December 2018.

Maximum temperature anomalies for the week ending 11 December 2018

Map showing maximum temperature anomalies for Australia. Image provided by the Bureau of Meteorology. Please refer to accompanying text for a more detailed description. 

©Commonwealth of Australia 2018, Australian Bureau of Meteorology - Issued: 12/12/2018

Minimum temperature anomalies for the week ending 11 December 2018

Map showing minimum temperature anomalies for Australia. Image provided by the Bureau of Meteorology. Please refer to accompanying text for a more detailed description. 

©Commonwealth of Australia 2018, Australian Bureau of Meteorology - Issued: 12/12/2018

Note: Spatial temperature analyses are based on historical weekly temperature data provided by the Bureau of Meteorology. These temperature anomaly maps show the departure of the maximum and minimum temperatures from the average over the 1961 to 1990 reference period. For further information go to Daily maximum temperature for Australia.

Rainfall forecast for the next 8 days

During the next eight days, rainfall is expected across all states and territories, with the heaviest falls forecast for eastern and northern Australia.

Two weather systems are currently coming together to create a significant weather event for eastern Australia, with the Bureau of Meteorology issuing severe weather warnings in several states. A low-pressure system has formed across the southeast of the country, which has the potential to bring a month's worth of rain over the next few days. Meanwhile, Tropical Cyclone Owen is intensifying in the Gulf of Carpentaria and is expected to strengthen and cross the Queensland coast on Friday.

An upper level trough is linking these two systems, which is likely to influence the movement of Tropical Cyclone Owen towards the east and possible the south-east of Queensland over the weekend. The trough is also expected to draw moisture in from the Tropics and Cyclone Owen, which is likely to cause heavy rainfall over a large part of eastern Australia.

Rainfall totals of between 10 and 50 millimetres are forecast for much of eastern and southern New South Wales, Victoria, eastern and northern Queensland, the far south-east of South Australia, Tasmania, and the north of the Northern Territory. Heavier falls in excess of 50 millimetres are forecast for parts of eastern New South Wales, southern Victoria, large areas of eastern and northern Queensland and parts of the far north of the Northern Territory.

In summer cropping regions, rainfall of between 10 and 50 millimetres is expected across most of northern New South Wales and western areas in Queensland, with heavier falls of between 50 and 100 millimetres expected across the remainder of Queensland and the far north-east on New South Wales.

This rainfall forecast is produced from computer models. As the model output are not altered weather forecasters, it is important to check local forecasts and warnings issued by the Bureau of Meteorology.

Total forecast rainfall (mm) for the period 13 to 20 December 2018

Map of the total forecast rainfall for the next 8 days. Image provided by the Bureau of Meteorology. Please refer to accompanying text for a more detailed description. 

©Commonwealth of Australia 2018, Australian Bureau of Meteorology - Issued: 13/12/2018

Commodities

Current indicators – 13 December 2018

IndicatorWeek endedUnitLatest pricePrice week priorWeekly changePrice 12 months priorYear on year changeChart

Selected world indicator prices

Australian Dollar – AUD/USD Exchange Rate12-DecUS$/A$0.720.73-1%This is an image of a white arrow in a red circle indicating a decrease in percentage points.0.75-4%This is an image of a white arrow in a red circle indicating a decrease in percentage points. chart
Wheat – US no. 2 hard red winter wheat, fob Gulf11-DecUS$/t2402352%This is an image of an white arrow in a green circle indicating an increase in percentage points.21611%This is an image of an white arrow in a green circle indicating an increase in percentage points. chart
Coarse Grains – US no. 2 yellow corn, fob Gulf12-DecUS$/t1701653%This is an image of an white arrow in a green circle indicating an increase in percentage points.15013%This is an image of an white arrow in a green circle indicating an increase in percentage points. chart
Canola – Rapeseed, Europe, fob Hamburg11-DecUS$/t419425-1%This is an image of a white arrow in a red circle indicating a decrease in percentage points.4190% chart
Cotton – Cotlook 'A' Index05-DecUSc/lb87.286.21%This is an image of an white arrow in a green circle indicating an increase in percentage points.83.35%This is an image of an white arrow in a green circle indicating an increase in percentage points. chart
Sugar – Intercontinental Exchange, nearby futures, no.11 contract12-DecUSc/lb12.812.80%14.0-9%This is an image of a white arrow in a red circle indicating a decrease in percentage points. chart
Wool – Eastern Market Indicator06-DecAc/kg clean1,8491,860<1%This is an image of a white arrow in a red circle indicating a decrease in percentage points.1,6999%This is an image of an white arrow in a green circle indicating an increase in percentage points. chart
Wool – Western Market Indicator07-DecAc/kg clean2,0092,0090%1,76214%This is an image of an white arrow in a green circle indicating an increase in percentage points. chart

Selected domestic crop indicator prices

Milling Wheat – ASW1, track quote, Port Adelaide, SA11-DecA$/t374373<1%This is an image of an white arrow in a green circle indicating an increase in percentage points.23063%This is an image of an white arrow in a green circle indicating an increase in percentage points. chart
Feed Wheat – General purpose, Sydney, NSW12-DecA$/t440nana25870%This is an image of an white arrow in a green circle indicating an increase in percentage points. chart
Feed Barley – Sydney, NSW05-DecA$/t4104100%24567%This is an image of an white arrow in a green circle indicating an increase in percentage points. chart
Canola – Portland, Vic.29-OctA$/t597nana53611%This is an image of an white arrow in a green circle indicating an increase in percentage points. chart
Grain Sorghum – Sydney, NSW12-DecA$/t4454109%This is an image of an white arrow in a green circle indicating an increase in percentage points.30446%This is an image of an white arrow in a green circle indicating an increase in percentage points. chart

Selected domestic livestock indicator prices

Beef – Eastern Young Cattle Indicator29-NovAc/kg cwt523528<1%This is an image of a white arrow in a red circle indicating a decrease in percentage points.580-10%This is an image of a white arrow in a red circle indicating a decrease in percentage points. chart
Mutton – Mutton indicator (18–24 kg fat score 2–3), Vic07-DecAc/kg cwt4244133%This is an image of an white arrow in a green circle indicating an increase in percentage points.487-13%This is an image of a white arrow in a red circle indicating a decrease in percentage points. chart
Lamb – Eastern States Trade Lamb Indicator06-DecAc/kg cwt663684-3%This is an image of a white arrow in a red circle indicating a decrease in percentage points.6354%This is an image of an white arrow in a green circle indicating an increase in percentage points. chart
Pig – Eastern Seaboard (60.1–75 kg), average of buyers & sellers30-NovAc/kg cwt311 3023%This is an image of an white arrow in a green circle indicating an increase in percentage points.28210%This is an image of an white arrow in a green circle indicating an increase in percentage points. chart
Goat – Eastern States (12.1–16 kg)03-DecAc/kg cwt5485480%49012%This is an image of an white arrow in a green circle indicating an increase in percentage points. chart
Live cattle – Light steers ex Darwin to Indonesia08-DecAc/kg lwt3253250%340-4%This is an image of a white arrow in a red circle indicating a decrease in percentage points. chart
Live sheep – Live wether (Muchea WA saleyard) to Middle East03-Dec$/head108 na na121-11%This is an image of a white arrow in a red circle indicating a decrease in percentage points. chart

Global Dairy Trade (GDT) weighted average prices a

Dairy – Whole milk powder04-DecUS$/t2,6672,5993%This is an image of an white arrow in a green circle indicating an increase in percentage points.2,830-6%This is an image of a white arrow in a red circle indicating a decrease in percentage points. chart
Dairy – Skim milk powder04-DecUS$/t1,9701,965<1%This is an image of an white arrow in a green circle indicating an increase in percentage points.1,77411%This is an image of an white arrow in a green circle indicating an increase in percentage points. chart
Dairy – Cheddar cheese04-DecUS$/t3,1843,252-2%This is an image of a white arrow in a red circle indicating a decrease in percentage points.3,696-14%This is an image of a white arrow in a red circle indicating a decrease in percentage points. chart
Dairy – Anhydrous milk fat04-DecUS$/t4,7554,5774%This is an image of an white arrow in a green circle indicating an increase in percentage points.6,836-30%This is an image of a white arrow in a red circle indicating a decrease in percentage points. chart

a Global Dairy Trade prices are updated twice monthly on the first and third Tuesday of each month.

Selected world indicator prices
Selected domestic crop indicator prices
Selected domestic livestock indicator prices
Global dairy trade weighted average prices
Movements in selected fruit and vegetable prices
Data attribution

Water

Water storages, water markets and water allocations - current week

​​
T​h​e Tableau dashboard may not meet accessibility requirements. For information about the contents of these dashboards contact ABARES.​​ ​

​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​
Last reviewed:
13 Dec 2018