Weekly update - 15 June 2017

​​Weekly Australian Climate,
Water and Agricultural Update

Key issues

  • During the week ending 14 June 2017 rainfall was mainly restricted to parts of western and eastern Australia, with totals between 100 and 200 millimetres in coastal parts of south-eastern Queensland and New South Wales.
  • For the week ending 13 June 2017 maximum temperatures were close to average across much of the country and minimum temperatures were generally below average.
  • The forecast for the next eight days indicates that little to no rainfall is expected across most of mainland Australia due to a broad high pressure system across the south of the country.
  • Water storage levels in the Murray–Darling Basin (MDB) increased by 74 gigalitres (GL) during the week ending 15 June 2017 to 15,519 GL and are at 69 per cent of total capacity.
  • Allocation prices in the southern Murray-Darling Basin increased in the week up to 15 June 2017 in most systems. Average prices across the whole southern system increased dramatically to $28.96 due to trade closing in some of the lower-priced valleys in the system.
  • The world wheat indicator price rose, reflecting concerns about protein levels in the 2017 US hard red winter harvest.
  • ABARES released the June edition of Australian crop report on Wednesday 14 June.

Climate

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Rainfall this week

During the week ending 14 June 2017 rainfall was mainly restricted to parts of western and eastern Australia. A low pressure system and associated trough brought rainfall totals between 100 and 200 millimetres to coastal parts of south-eastern Queensland and New South Wales. Areas around Sydney and Grafton have already exceeded their monthly average rainfall for June. The highest recorded weekly total was 376 millimetres at Woodburn, north of Grafton in New South Wales. Little to no rainfall was recorded across the remainder of mainland Australia.

The rainfall analyses and associated maps utilise data contained in the Bureau of Meteorology climate database, the Australian Data Archive for Meteorology (ADAM). The analyses are initially produced automatically from real-time data with limited quality control. They are intended to provide a general overview of rainfall across Australia as quickly as possible after the observations are received.

For further information go to Weekly Rainfall Update

Rainfall - week ending 14 June 2017

Map showing weekly rainfall totals in Australia. Image provided by the Bureau of Meteorology. Please refer to accompanying text for a more detailed description. 

©Commonwealth of Australia 2017, Australian Bureau of Meteorology - Issued: 14/06/2017

Temperature anomalies this week

During the week ending 13 June 2017 maximum temperatures were close to average across much of the country with the exception of Western Australia where temperatures were between 2°C and 6°C above average. Maximum temperatures were between 2°C and 4°C below average in parts of the Northern Territory and adjacent areas in Western Australia. Minimum temperatures were generally between 2°C and 4°C below average across most of Australia. The main exception was eastern New South Wales, where minimum temperatures were between 2°C and 4°C above average for this time of year.

Maximum temperature anomalies - week ending 13 June 2017

Map showing maximum temperature anomalies in Australia. Image provided by the Bureau of Meteorology. Please refer to accompanying text for a more detailed description. 

©Commonwealth of Australia 2017, Australian Bureau of Meteorology - Issued: 13/06/2017

Minimum temperature anomalies - week ending 13 June 2017

Map showing minimum temperature anomalies in Australia. Image provided by the Bureau of Meteorology. Please refer to accompanying text for a more detailed description.] 

©Commonwealth of Australia 2017, Australian Bureau of Meteorology - Issued: 13/06/2017

Note: Spatial temperature analyses are based on historical weekly temperature data provided by the Bureau of Meteorology. These temperature anomaly maps show the departure of the maximum and minimum temperatures from their long-term averages. Temperature anomalies are calculated using high-resolution gridded datasets from 1911 onwards. For further information go to Daily maximum temperature for Australia.

Rainfall forecast for the next 8 days

The forecast for the next eight days indicates that little to no rainfall is expected across most of mainland Australia due to a broad high pressure system across the south of the country. Rainfall totals exceeding 15 millimetres are forecast for western Tasmania and parts of far south-western Western Australia.

This rainfall forecast is produced from computer models. As it contains no input from weather forecasters, it is important to check local forecasts and warnings issued by the Bureau of Meteorology.

Total forecast rainfall (mm) for the period 15 to 22 June 2017

Map of the total forecast rainfall for the next 8 days. Image provided by the Bureau of Meteorology. Please refer to accompanying text for a more detailed description. 

©Commonwealth of Australia 2017, Australian Bureau of Meteorology - Issued: 15/06/2017

Water

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Water availability

Water storage levels in the Murray–Darling Basin (MDB) increased during the week ending 15 June 2017 by 74 gigalitres (GL) to 15,519 GL and are at 69 per cent of total capacity. This is 34 percentage points or 7,764 GL more than at the same time last year.

Water storages in the Murray-Darling Basin (NSW, Victoria and Queensland)

Line graph showing water storages in the Murray–Darling Basin (NSW, Victoria and Queensland) from 2000 to 2017, measured as a percentage of the total storage of 22,598 gigalitres. 

Information on irrigation water available in the Murray–Darling Basin from 1 January 2001 to 15 June 2017 is shown above. The top horizontal (short dash) line indicates the storage level during a similar time last year. The bottom horizontal (long dash) line indicates the amount of ‘dead’ or unusable storage.

Water markets

Allocation prices in the southern Murray-Darling Basin increased in the week up to 15 June 2017 in most systems. Average prices across the whole southern system increased to $28.96. This is an increase of $12.62 or 77 per cent from the same time last week. Although prices have risen, this is in part due to trade closing in some of the lower-priced valleys in the system. This contrasts with an average price of $22.71 in May across the whole southern MDB and $31.93 in April.

Allocation trade activity in the southern Murray-Darling Basin

Allocation trade activity in the southern Murray-Darling Basin. The trades shown reflect market activity and do not encompass all register trades. The price line reflects locally fitted price values for the entire southern Murray-Darling Basin. 

The trades shown reflect market activity and do not encompass all register trades. The price line reflects locally fitted price values for the entire southern Murray-Darling Basin. Data shown is current until Thursday 15 June, 2017.

Allocation trade prices, southern Murray-Darling Basin (price per ML)

 

Southern MDB

Goulburn

South Australia

Murrumbidgee

Victoria Murray

NSW Murray

Current week: 09/06/17 - 15/06/17

$28.96

$29.52

$27.56

NA

$30.15

NA

Last week: 02/06/17 - 08/06/17

$16.34

$28.34

$25.37

$4.95

$26.52

$12.42

May 2017

$22.71

$27.55

$29.92

$5.51

$27.71

$24.26

May 2016

$233.65

$251.07

$253.98

$190.14

$249.59

$220.62

Commodities

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Market focus

World wheat

The world wheat indicator price (no. 2 hard red winter, fob Gulf) averaged $217 a tonne in the week ending 13 June 2017, an increase of 7 per cent from the previous week. Early harvest samples tested by Plain Grains Inc. found HRW protein levels in Texas and Oklahoma to be below average at 10.8 per cent. The minimum protein level required to be classified as no.2 HRW is 10.5 per cent.

Crop report

ABARES released the June edition of Australian crop report on Wednesday 14 June. The report includes forecasts for 2017–18 winter crop production and estimates of 2016–17 summer crop production. The report is available at Agricultural commodities.

Current indicators – 15 June 2017

IndicatorWeek endedUnitLatest pricePrice week priorWeekly changePrice 12 months priorYear on year changeChart

Selected world indicator prices

Australian Dollar – AUD/USD Exchange Rate14-JunUS$/A$0.750.750%0.741%This is an image of an white arrow in a green circle indicating an increase in percentage points. chart
Wheat – US no. 2 hard red winter wheat, fob Gulf13-JunUS$/t2172027%This is an image of an white arrow in a green circle indicating an increase in percentage points.2084%This is an image of an white arrow in a green circle indicating an increase in percentage points. chart
Coarse Grains – US no. 2 yellow corn, fob Gulf14-JunUS$/t1631611%This is an image of an white arrow in a green circle indicating an increase in percentage points.186-12%This is an image of a white arrow in a red circle indicating a decrease in percentage points. chart
Canola – Rapeseed, Europe, fob Hamburg13-JunUS$/t4124120%429-4%This is an image of a white arrow in a red circle indicating a decrease in percentage points. chart
Cotton – Cotlook 'A' Index14-JunUSc/lb86.286.9<1%This is an image of a white arrow in a red circle indicating a decrease in percentage points.73.817%This is an image of an white arrow in a green circle indicating an increase in percentage points. chart
Sugar – Intercontinental Exchange, nearby futures, no.11 contract14-JunUSc/lb14.014.00%19.6-29%This is an image of a white arrow in a red circle indicating a decrease in percentage points. chart
Wool – Eastern Market Indicator08-JunAc/kg clean1,4781,472<1%This is an image of an white arrow in a green circle indicating an increase in percentage points.1,27016%This is an image of an white arrow in a green circle indicating an increase in percentage points. chart
Wool – Western Market Indicator26-MayAc/kg clean1,5201,535<1%This is an image of a white arrow in a red circle indicating a decrease in percentage points.1,37511%This is an image of an white arrow in a green circle indicating an increase in percentage points. chart

Selected domestic crop indicator prices

Milling Wheat – ASW1, track quote, Port Adelaide, SA06-JunA$/t2041983%This is an image of an white arrow in a green circle indicating an increase in percentage points.256-20%This is an image of a white arrow in a red circle indicating a decrease in percentage points. chart
Feed Wheat – General purpose, Sydney, NSW14-JunA$/t240239<1%This is an image of an white arrow in a green circle indicating an increase in percentage points.273-12%This is an image of a white arrow in a red circle indicating a decrease in percentage points. chart
Feed Barley – Sydney, NSW14-JunA$/t2262146%This is an image of an white arrow in a green circle indicating an increase in percentage points.229-1%This is an image of a white arrow in a red circle indicating a decrease in percentage points. chart
Canola – Portland, Vic.05-JunA$/t503510-1%This is an image of a white arrow in a red circle indicating a decrease in percentage points.535-6%This is an image of a white arrow in a red circle indicating a decrease in percentage points. chart
Grain Sorghum – Sydney, NSW14-JunA$/t2792723%This is an image of an white arrow in a green circle indicating an increase in percentage points.2569%This is an image of an white arrow in a green circle indicating an increase in percentage points. chart

Selected domestic livestock indicator prices

Beef – Eastern Young Cattle Indicator08-JunAc/kg cwt643652-1%This is an image of a white arrow in a red circle indicating a decrease in percentage points.58310%This is an image of an white arrow in a green circle indicating an increase in percentage points. chart
Mutton – Mutton indicator (18-24 kg fat score 2-3), Vic09-JunAc/kg cwt534557-4%This is an image of a white arrow in a red circle indicating a decrease in percentage points.37941%This is an image of an white arrow in a green circle indicating an increase in percentage points. chart
Lamb – Eastern States Trade Lamb Indicator08-JunAc/kg cwt670671<1%This is an image of a white arrow in a red circle indicating a decrease in percentage points.59912%This is an image of an white arrow in a green circle indicating an increase in percentage points. chart
Pig – Eastern Seaboard (60.1-75 kg), average of buyers & sellers02-JunAc/kg cwt290299-3%This is an image of a white arrow in a red circle indicating a decrease in percentage points.383-24%This is an image of a white arrow in a red circle indicating a decrease in percentage points. chart
Goat – Eastern States (12.1-16 kg)12-JunAc/kg cwt660656<1%This is an image of an white arrow in a green circle indicating an increase in percentage points.56018%This is an image of an white arrow in a green circle indicating an increase in percentage points. chart
Live cattle – Light steers ex Darwin to Indonesia20-MayAc/kg lwt3203200%28014%This is an image of an white arrow in a green circle indicating an increase in percentage points. chart
Live sheep – Live wether (Muchea WA saleyard) to Middle East05-Jun$/head123136-10%This is an image of a white arrow in a red circle indicating a decrease in percentage points.nana chart

Global Dairy Trade weighted average pricesa

Dairy – Whole milk powder06-JunUS$/t3,1433,312-5%This is an image of a white arrow in a red circle indicating a decrease in percentage points.2,20543%This is an image of an white arrow in a green circle indicating an increase in percentage points. chart
Dairy – Skim milk powder06-JunUS$/t2,1561,9988%This is an image of an white arrow in a green circle indicating an increase in percentage points.1,86715%This is an image of an white arrow in a green circle indicating an increase in percentage points. chart
Dairy – Cheddar cheese06-JunUS$/t4,2853,72615%This is an image of an white arrow in a green circle indicating an increase in percentage points.2,66961%This is an image of an white arrow in a green circle indicating an increase in percentage points. chart
Dairy – Anhydrous milk fat06-JunUS$/t6,6316,6310%3,44493%This is an image of an white arrow in a green circle indicating an increase in percentage points. chart

a Global Dairy Trade prices are updated twice monthly on the first and third Tuesday of each month.

Movements in selected fruit and vegetable prices
Data attribution

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Last reviewed:
15 Jun 2017