Weekly update - 18 July 2019

​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​Weekly ​Australian Climate,
Water and Agricultural Update

Key issues

  • Rainfall of between 10 to 25 millimetres was recorded across winter cropping regions in far southern New South Wales, large areas of Victoria, and parts of South Australia during the week ending 17 July 2019. These regions are well on track to record average rainfall totals for July, with most areas already registering at least half of their July mean rainfall.
  • Remaining cropping regions across southern New South Wales, northern Queensland, Victoria, southern Western Australia and parts of South Australia recorded rainfall between 1 to 10 millimetres during the week ending 17 July 2019. Cropping regions in northern New South Wales and southern Queensland received little to no rainfall and dry conditions in these regions have persisted since late March.
  • Across Australia’s winter cropping regions, the 8‑day rainfall forecast indicates falls of between 5 and 25 millimetres are expected across areas of southern Victoria, central South Australia and much of Western Australia. Lighter falls of between 1 and 5 millimetres are forecast across cropping regions in southern New South Wales, eastern Queensland, and remaining areas of Western Australia, Victoria and South Australia. Little to no rainfall is expected across the remainder of Queensland and New South Wales.
  • Water storage levels in the Murray-Darling Basin (MDB) decreased between 10 July and 15 July 2019 by 1 gigalitre (GL). Current volume of water held in storage is 8,968 GL which represents 35% of total capacity. This is 35% or 4,835 GL less than at the same time last year.
  • Allocation prices in the southern Murray-Darling Basin remained steady this week at around $620 per ML.

Climate

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Rainfall this week

During the week ending 17 July 2019 rainfall was mainly restricted to south-eastern and north-eastern Australia. Little to no rainfall was recorded across the rest of Australia.

Rainfall of between 10 to 25 millimetres was recorded across winter cropping regions in the far south of New South Wales, large areas of Victoria, and parts of South Australia during the week ending 17 July 2019. These regions are well on track to record average rainfall totals for July, with most areas already registering at least half of their July mean rainfall. Timely and sufficient rainfall will continue to be important for potential crop yield in these regions as the season progresses, particularly during flowering and grain fill in spring. 

Remaining cropping regions across southern New South Wales, northern Queensland, Victoria, southern Western Australia and parts of South Australia recorded rainfall between 1 to 10 millimetres during the week ending 17 July 2019. Northern New South Wales and southern Queensland continue to record little to no rainfall, dry conditions in these regions have persisted since late March.

Rainfall for the week ending 17 July 2019

Map showing weekly rainfall totals in Australia. Image provided by the Bureau of Meteorology. Please refer to accompanying text for a more detailed description. 

©Commonwealth of Australia 2019, Australian Bureau of Meteorology - Issued: 17/07/2019

Note: The rainfall analyses and associated maps utilise data contained in the Bureau of Meteorology climate database, the Australian Data Archive for Meteorology (ADAM). The analyses are initially produced automatically from real-time data with limited quality control. They are intended to provide a general overview of rainfall across Australia as quickly as possible after the observations are received. For further information go to Weekly Rainfall Update.

Temperature anomalies this week

For the week ending 16 July  2019, maximum temperatures were 2°C to 4°C above average across parts of Western Australia, and minimum temperatures were 2°C to 4°C above average across parts of south-eastern and northern Australia. In contrast, minimum temperatures were - 2°C to - 4°C below average across a small part of eastern Australia. Average (- 2°C to 2°C) minimum and maximum temperatures were recorded across the remainder of the country.

Maximum temperature anomalies for the week ending 16 July 2019

Map showing maximum temperature anomalies for Australia. Image provided by the Bureau of Meteorology. Please refer to accompanying text for a more detailed description. 

©Commonwealth of Australia 2019, Australian Bureau of Meteorology - Issued: 17/07/2019

Minimum temperature anomalies for the week ending 16 July 2019

Map showing minimum temperature anomalies for Australia. Image provided by the Bureau of Meteorology. Please refer to accompanying text for a more detailed description. 

©Commonwealth of Australia 2019, Australian Bureau of Meteorology - Issued: 17/07/2019

Note: Spatial temperature analyses are based on historical weekly temperature data provided by the Bureau of Meteorology. These temperature anomaly maps show the departure of the maximum and minimum temperatures from the average over the 1961 to 1990 reference period. For further information go to Daily maximum temperature for Australia.

Rainfall forecast for the next 8 days

Over the next eight days, rainfall is expected to be mainly restricted to the far south-east and south-west of Australia, with little to no rainfall forecast for most of the country.

Rainfall of between 10 and 50 millimetres is forecast for isolated areas of southern New South Wales, southern Victoria, south-eastern South Australia and south-western Western Australia. Rainfall of between 10 and 150 millimetres is forecast for Tasmania.

In cropping regions, rainfall of between 5 and 25 millimetres is expected across areas of southern Victoria, central South Australia and much of Western Australia. Lighter falls of between 1 and 5 millimetres are forecast across cropping regions in southern New South Wales, eastern Queensland, and remaining areas of Western Australia, Victoria and South Australia. Little to no rainfall is expected across the remainder of Queensland and New South Wales.

Total forecast rainfall (mm) for the period 18 July to 25 July 2019

Map of the total forecast rainfall for the next 8 days. Image provided by the Bureau of Meteorology. Please refer to accompanying text for a more detailed description. 

©Commonwealth of Australia 2019, Australian Bureau of Meteorology - Issued: 18/07/2019

Note: This rainfall forecast is produced from computer models. As the model outputs are not altered by weather forecasters, it is important to check local forecasts and warnings issued by the Bureau of Meteorology.

Commodities

Current indicators – 18 July 2019

IndicatorWeek endedUnitLatest pricePrice week priorWeekly changePrice 12 months priorYear on year changeChart

Selected World Indicator Prices

Australian Dollar – AUD/USD Exchange Rate17-JulUS$/A$0.7 0.70%0.74-5%This is an image of a white arrow in a red circle indicating a decrease in percentage points. chart
Wheat – US no. 2 hard red winter wheat, fob Gulf16-JulUS$/t223221<1%This is an image of an white arrow in a green circle indicating an increase in percentage points.228-2%This is an image of a white arrow in a red circle indicating a decrease in percentage points. chart
Coarse Grains – US no. 2 yellow corn, fob Gulf17-JulUS$/t1961913%This is an image of an white arrow in a green circle indicating an increase in percentage points.15328%This is an image of an white arrow in a green circle indicating an increase in percentage points. chart
Canola – Rapeseed, Europe, fob Hamburg16-JulUS$/t4074021%This is an image of an white arrow in a green circle indicating an increase in percentage points.426-4%This is an image of a white arrow in a red circle indicating a decrease in percentage points. chart
Cotton – Cotlook 'A' Index17-JulUSc/lb74.477.8-4%This is an image of a white arrow in a red circle indicating a decrease in percentage points.97.3-24%This is an image of a white arrow in a red circle indicating a decrease in percentage points. chart
Sugar – Intercontinental Exchange, nearby futures, no.11 contract17-JulUSc/lb12.312.4 <1%This is an image of a white arrow in a red circle indicating a decrease in percentage points.11.1 11%This is an image of an white arrow in a green circle indicating an increase in percentage points. chart
Wool – Eastern Market Indicator11-JulAc/kg clean1,7541,7232%This is an image of an white arrow in a green circle indicating an increase in percentage points.1,981-11%This is an image of a white arrow in a red circle indicating a decrease in percentage points. chart
Wool – Western Market Indicator12-JulAc/kg clean1,8941,8671%This is an image of an white arrow in a green circle indicating an increase in percentage points.2,129-11%This is an image of a white arrow in a red circle indicating a decrease in percentage points. chart

Selected domestic crop indicator prices

Milling Wheat – ASW1, track quote, Port Adelaide, SA02-JulA$/t242274-12%This is an image of a white arrow in a red circle indicating a decrease in percentage points.284-15%This is an image of a white arrow in a red circle indicating a decrease in percentage points. chart
Feed Wheat – General purpose, Sydney, NSW17-JulA$/t370375-1%This is an image of a white arrow in a red circle indicating a decrease in percentage points.3751%This is an image of a white arrow in a red circle indicating a decrease in percentage points. chart
Feed Barley – Sydney, NSW17-JulA$/t3653650%-na chart
Grain Sorghum – Sydney, NSW17-JulA$/t335350-4%This is an image of a white arrow in a red circle indicating a decrease in percentage points.410-18%This is an image of a white arrow in a red circle indicating a decrease in percentage points. chart

Selected domestic livestock indicator prices

Beef – Eastern Young Cattle Indicator11-JulAc/kg cwt5164925%This is an image of an white arrow in a green circle indicating an increase in percentage points.5033%This is an image of an white arrow in a green circle indicating an increase in percentage points. chart
Mutton – Mutton indicator (18–24 kg fat score 2–3), Vic12-JulAc/kg cwt6295975%This is an image of an white arrow in a green circle indicating an increase in percentage points.51722%This is an image of an white arrow in a green circle indicating an increase in percentage points. chart
Lamb – Eastern States Trade Lamb Indicator11-JulAc/kg cwt9459084%This is an image of an white arrow in a green circle indicating an increase in percentage points.72431%This is an image of an white arrow in a green circle indicating an increase in percentage points. chart
Pig – Eastern Seaboard (60.1–75 kg), average of buyers & sellers05-JulAc/kg cwt360357<1%This is an image of an white arrow in a green circle indicating an increase in percentage points.25143%This is an image of an white arrow in a green circle indicating an increase in percentage points. chart
Goat – Eastern States (12.1–16 kg)15-JulAc/kg cwt9359350%53674%This is an image of an white arrow in a green circle indicating an increase in percentage points. chart
Live cattle – Light steers ex Darwin to Indonesia06-JulAc/kg lwt2902900%2852%This is an image of an white arrow in a green circle indicating an increase in percentage points. chart
Live sheep – Live wether (Muchea WA saleyard) to Middle East13-May$/head13511023%This is an image of an white arrow in a green circle indicating an increase in percentage points.9542%This is an image of an white arrow in a green circle indicating an increase in percentage points. chart

Global Dairy Trade (GDT) weighted average prices a

Dairy – Whole milk powder16-JulUS$/t3,0742,9694%This is an image of an white arrow in a green circle indicating an increase in percentage points.2,9733%This is an image of an white arrow in a green circle indicating an increase in percentage points. chart
Dairy – Skim milk powder16-JulUS$/t2,5052,4303%This is an image of an white arrow in a green circle indicating an increase in percentage points.1,95928%This is an image of an white arrow in a green circle indicating an increase in percentage points. chart
Dairy – Cheddar cheese16-JulUS$/t3,8693,7563%This is an image of an white arrow in a green circle indicating an increase in percentage points.3,5968%This is an image of an white arrow in a green circle indicating an increase in percentage points. chart
Dairy – Anhydrous milk fat16-JulUS$/t5,5235,4332%This is an image of an white arrow in a green circle indicating an increase in percentage points.5,629-2%This is an image of a white arrow in a red circle indicating a decrease in percentage points. chart

a Global Dairy Trade prices are updated twice monthly on the first and third Tuesday of each month.

Selected world indicator prices
Selected domestic crop indicator prices
Selected domestic livestock indicator prices
Global dairy trade weighted average prices
Movements in selected fruit and vegetable prices
Data attribution

Water

Water storages, water markets and water allocations - current week

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Last reviewed:
18 Jul 2019