Weekly update - 23 August 2018

​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​Weekly Australian Climate,
Water and Agricultural Update

Key issues

  • During the week ending 22 August 2018 little to no rainfall was recorded across much of mainland Australia, with falls restricted to the far south and west of the country. Rainfall totals of between 10 and 50 millimetres were recorded across isolated areas of southern New South Wales, much of southern and eastern Victoria, the far southeast of South Australia, south-western Western Australia and much of Tasmania.
  • In cropping regions, weekly rainfall totals of between 1 and 10 millimetres were recorded in parts of southern New South Wales. For cropping regions in Victoria weekly rainfall totals were variable, ranging from 1 millimetre in the north to 25 millimetres in the south-west and south-east. In South Australian and Western Australian cropping regions, weekly rainfall totals ranged from 1 to 25 millimetres.
  • For the week ending 21 August 2018, maximum temperatures were above average (2°C to 6°C) across parts of western and central Australia and the southeast of Queensland, with generally average daytime temperatures across the remainder of the country. Minimum temperatures were generally below average, with parts of northern and eastern Australia recording night-time temperatures of 2°C to 6°C below average for this time of year.
  • During the next eight days, rainfall is expected across large areas of eastern Australia and the far south of the country.
  • The first cut-off low-pressure system of the winter season is expected to bring rainfall totals of between 10 and 50 millimetres to much of eastern New South Wales and the southeast of Queensland. These falls are likely to provide a timely boost to soil moisture levels before the spring production period. However, due to the high soil moisture deficit that currently exists across much of eastern Australia subsequent rainfall events will be required to materially improve agricultural production conditions.
  • In cropping regions, rainfall totals of between 1 and 10 millimetres are forecast for southern New South Wales, much of Victoria, northern Queensland, central and eastern South Australia and Western Australia during the next eight days. Heavier falls of between 10 and 50 millimetres are forecast for cropping regions in central and northern New South Wales, southern and central Queensland and western South Australia.
  • Water storage levels in the Murray–Darling Basin (MDB) increased during the week ending 23 August 2018 by 168 gigalitres (GL) to 12,310GL and are at 54 per cent of total capacity. This is 19 percentage points or 4,195 GL less than at the same time last year.
  • Allocation prices in the southern Murray-Darling Basin decreased in the week ending 23 August 2018 to $331 per ML. This is a decrease of $5 from the same time last week.

Climate

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Rainfall this week

During the week ending 22 August 2018 little to no rainfall was recorded across much of mainland Australia, with falls restricted to the far south and west of the country. Rainfall totals of between 10 and 50 millimetres were recorded across isolated areas of southern New South Wales, much of southern and eastern Victoria, the far southeast of South Australia, south-western Western Australia and much of Tasmania.

Higher rainfall totals in excess of 50 millimetres were recorded across isolated areas of Victoria and western Tasmania. The highest recorded weekly total was 103 millimetres at Margaret Dam, in western Tasmania.

In cropping regions, rainfall totals of between 1 and 10 millimetres were recorded across parts of southern New South Wales. For cropping regions in Victoria, weekly rainfall totals were variable, ranging from 1 to 10 millimetres in northern and central areas to 10 to 25 millimetres in the far west. In South Australian and Western Australian cropping regions, weekly rainfall totals ranged from 1 to 25 millimetres. Little to no rainfall was recorded in cropping regions in central and northern New South Wales and Queensland.

Rainfall analysis for the week ending 22 August 2018

Map showing weekly rainfall totals in Australia. Image provided by the Bureau of Meteorology. Please refer to accompanying text for a more detailed description. 

©Commonwealth of Australia 2018, Australian Bureau of Meteorology - Issued: 22/8/2018

Note: The rainfall analyses and associated maps utilise data contained in the Bureau of Meteorology climate database, the Australian Data Archive for Meteorology (ADAM). The analyses are initially produced automatically from real-time data with limited quality control. They are intended to provide a general overview of rainfall across Australia as quickly as possible after the observations are received. For further information go to Weekly Rainfall Update.

Temperature anomalies this week

For the week ending 21 August 2018, maximum temperatures were above average (2°C to 6°C) across parts of western and central Australia and the southeast of Queensland, with generally average daytime temperatures across the remainder of the country. Minimum temperatures were generally below average, with parts of Queensland, northern Western Australia and the Northern Territory recording night-time temperatures of 4°C to 6°C below average for this time of year.

Maximum temperature anomalies for the week ending 21 August 2018

Map showing maximum temperature anomalies for Australia. Image provided by the Bureau of Meteorology. Please refer to accompanying text for a more detailed description. 

©Commonwealth of Australia 2018, Australian Bureau of Meteorology - Issued: 22/8/2018

Minimum temperature anomalies for the week ending 21 August 2018

Map showing minimum temperature anomalies for Australia. Image provided by the Bureau of Meteorology. Please refer to accompanying text for a more detailed description. 

©Commonwealth of Australia 2018, Australian Bureau of Meteorology - Issued: 22/8/2018

Note: Spatial temperature analyses are based on historical weekly temperature data provided by the Bureau of Meteorology. These temperature anomaly maps show the departure of the maximum and minimum temperatures from the average over the 1961 to 1990 reference period. For further information go to Daily maximum temperature for Australia.

Rainfall forecast for the next 8 days

During the next eight days, rainfall is expected across large areas of eastern Australia and the far south of the country. Little to no rainfall is forecast across the remainder of the country.

The first cut-off low-pressure system of the winter season is expected to bring rainfall totals of between 10 and 50 millimetres to much of eastern New South Wales and the southeast of Queensland. These falls are likely to provide a timely boost to soil moisture levels before the spring production period. However, due to the high soil moisture deficit that currently exists across much of eastern Australia subsequent rainfall events will be required to materially improve agricultural production conditions.

Rainfall totals of between 10 and 50 millimetres are also forecast for southern and eastern Victoria, parts of southern South Australia, south-western Western Australia and western Tasmania. Heavier falls in excess of 50 millimetres are forecast for isolated areas of north-eastern New South Wales.

In cropping regions, rainfall totals of between 1 and 10 millimetres are forecast for southern New South Wales, much of Victoria, northern Queensland, central and eastern South Australia and Western Australia during the next eight days. Heavier falls of between 10 and 50 millimetres are forecast for cropping regions in central and northern New South Wales, southern and central Queensland and western South Australia.

This rainfall forecast is produced from computer models. As it contains no input from weather forecasters, it is important to check local forecasts and warnings issued by the Bureau of Meteorology.

Total forecast rainfall (mm) for the period 23 to 30 August 2018

Map of the total forecast rainfall for the next 8 days. Image provided by the Bureau of Meteorology. Please refer to accompanying text for a more detailed description. 

©Commonwealth of Australia 2018, Australian Bureau of Meteorology - Issued: 23/8/2018

Commodities

Current indicators – 23 August 2018

IndicatorWeek endedUnitLatest pricePrice week priorWeekly changePrice 12 months priorYear on year changeChart

Selected world indicator prices

Australian Dollar – AUD/USD Exchange Rate22-AugUS$/A$0.730.730%0.79-8%This is an image of a white arrow in a red circle indicating a decrease in percentage points. chart
Wheat – US no. 2 hard red winter wheat, fob Gulf21-AugUS$/t250258-3%This is an image of a white arrow in a red circle indicating a decrease in percentage points.19826%This is an image of an white arrow in a green circle indicating an increase in percentage points. chart
Coarse Grains – US no. 2 yellow corn, fob Gulf22-AugUS$/t1641640%1519%This is an image of an white arrow in a green circle indicating an increase in percentage points. chart
Canola – Rapeseed, Europe, fob Hamburga21-AugUS$/t4414361%This is an image of an white arrow in a green circle indicating an increase in percentage points.4332%This is an image of an white arrow in a green circle indicating an increase in percentage points. chart
Cotton – Cotlook 'A' Index22-AugUSc/lb91.995.1-3%This is an image of a white arrow in a red circle indicating a decrease in percentage points.77.718%This is an image of an white arrow in a green circle indicating an increase in percentage points. chart
Sugar – Intercontinental Exchange, nearby futures, no.11 contract22-AugUSc/lb10.210.5-3%This is an image of a white arrow in a red circle indicating a decrease in percentage points.13.5-24%This is an image of a white arrow in a red circle indicating a decrease in percentage points. chart
Wool – Eastern Market Indicator23-AugAc/kg clean2,0682,116-2%This is an image of a white arrow in a red circle indicating a decrease in percentage points.1,57232%This is an image of an white arrow in a green circle indicating an increase in percentage points. chart
Wool – Western Market Indicator17-AugAc/kg clean2,2792,1586%This is an image of an white arrow in a green circle indicating an increase in percentage points.1,68036%This is an image of an white arrow in a green circle indicating an increase in percentage points. chart

Selected domestic crop indicator prices

Milling Wheat – ASW1, track quote, Port Adelaide, SA21-AugA$/t342359-5%This is an image of a white arrow in a red circle indicating a decrease in percentage points.21063%This is an image of an white arrow in a green circle indicating an increase in percentage points. chart
Feed Wheat – General purpose, Sydney, NSW22-AugA$/t4304202%This is an image of an white arrow in a green circle indicating an increase in percentage points.23285%This is an image of an white arrow in a green circle indicating an increase in percentage points. chart
Feed Barley – Sydney, NSW22-AugA$/t4104002%This is an image of an white arrow in a green circle indicating an increase in percentage points.22186%This is an image of an white arrow in a green circle indicating an increase in percentage points. chart
Canola – Portland, Vic.20-AugA$/t572575<1%This is an image of a white arrow in a red circle indicating a decrease in percentage points.49516%This is an image of an white arrow in a green circle indicating an increase in percentage points. chart
Grain Sorghum – Sydney, NSW22-AugA$/t395385 3%This is an image of an white arrow in a green circle indicating an increase in percentage points.29932%This is an image of an white arrow in a green circle indicating an increase in percentage points. chart

Selected domestic livestock indicator prices

Beef – Eastern Young Cattle Indicator16-AugAc/kg cwt451463-3%This is an image of a white arrow in a red circle indicating a decrease in percentage points.551-18%This is an image of a white arrow in a red circle indicating a decrease in percentage points. chart
Mutton – Mutton indicator (18-24 kg fat score 2-3), Vic17-AugAc/kg cwt4073943%This is an image of an white arrow in a green circle indicating an increase in percentage points.4011%This is an image of an white arrow in a green circle indicating an increase in percentage points. chart
Lamb – Eastern States Trade Lamb Indicator16-AugAc/kg cwt8137617%This is an image of an white arrow in a green circle indicating an increase in percentage points.59437%This is an image of an white arrow in a green circle indicating an increase in percentage points. chart
Pig – Eastern Seaboard (60.1-75 kg), average of buyers & sellers10-AugAc/kg cwt2472470%276-11%This is an image of a white arrow in a red circle indicating a decrease in percentage points. chart
Goat – Eastern States (12.1-16 kg)20-AugAc/kg cwt5685601%45724%This is an image of an white arrow in a green circle indicating an increase in percentage points. chart
Live cattle – Light steers ex Darwin to Indonesia18-AugAc/kg lwt3003000%330-9%This is an image of a white arrow in a red circle indicating a decrease in percentage points. chart
Live sheep – Live wether (Muchea WA saleyard) to Middle East14-May$/head95nana116-18%This is an image of a white arrow in a red circle indicating a decrease in percentage points. chart

Global Dairy Trade weighted average pricesa

Dairy – Whole milk powder21-AugUS$/t2,8832,958-3%This is an image of a white arrow in a red circle indicating a decrease in percentage points.3,143-8%This is an image of a white arrow in a red circle indicating a decrease in percentage points. chart
Dairy – Skim milk powder21-AugUS$/t1,9511,972-1%This is an image of a white arrow in a red circle indicating a decrease in percentage points.1,968<1%This is an image of a white arrow in a red circle indicating a decrease in percentage points. chart
Dairy – Cheddar cheese21-AugUS$/t3,4843,663-5%This is an image of a white arrow in a red circle indicating a decrease in percentage points.4,005-13%This is an image of a white arrow in a red circle indicating a decrease in percentage points. chart
Dairy – Anhydrous milk fat21-AugUS$/t5,3215,709-7%This is an image of a white arrow in a red circle indicating a decrease in percentage points.6,199-14%This is an image of a white arrow in a red circle indicating a decrease in percentage points. chart

a Global Dairy Trade prices are updated twice monthly on the first and third Tuesday of each month.

Selected world indicator prices
Selected domestic crop indicator prices
Selected domestic livestock indicator prices
Global dairy trade weighted average prices
Movements in selected fruit and vegetable prices
Data attribution

Water

Water storages, water markets and water allocations - current week

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Last reviewed:
23 Aug 2018