Improved prospects for winter crop production

8 September 2015

Favourable conditions in most of Australia’s cropping regions over winter, including above-average rainfall in New South Wales and timely rainfall in Western Australia and South Australia, have improved prospects for 2015-16 winter crop production, according to the Australian Bureau of Agricultural and Resource Economics and Sciences (ABARES) latest Australian crop report.

Executive Director of ABARES, Karen Schneider, said that as a result of the favourable seasonal conditions, forecast winter crop production in 2015–16 has been revised up from the ABARES June 2015 forecast.

“Forecast production has been revised up for all major producing states, although forecast production in Victoria is expected to be below average,” Ms Schneider said.

The Bureau of Meteorology’s latest three‐month rainfall outlook says wetter than average spring conditions are likely in most cropping regions in New South Wales, Victoria, South Australia and Western Australia. Close to average spring rainfall is likely in most cropping regions in Queensland.

“Australia’s total winter crop production is forecast to rise by around 8 per cent to 41.4 million tonnes. This is largely a result of higher production in Western Australia and New South Wales,” Ms Schneider said.

“Winter crop production is also expected to rise in Queensland and Victoria and to remain steady in South Australia.”

For the major winter crops, wheat production is forecast to increase by 7 per cent in 2015–16 to 25.3 million tonnes and barley production is forecast to rise by 8 per cent to 8.6 million tonnes. Canola production is forecast to fall by 9 per cent to around 3.1 million tonnes, with an estimated 13 per cent fall in planted area.

Ms Schneider said that strong demand from India for chickpeas had led to an expected increase in production.

“Australia’s chickpea production is forecast to increase by 78 per cent to 990,000 tonnes – great news for chickpea growers,” Ms Schneider said.

The September edition of the Australian crop report is available at ABARES Publications.

Last reviewed: 4 November 2019
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