Weekly update - 18 July 2019
Key issues
- Rainfall of between 10 to 25 millimetres was recorded across winter cropping regions in far southern New South Wales, large areas of Victoria, and parts of South Australia during the week ending 17 July 2019. These regions are well on track to record average rainfall totals for July, with most areas already registering at least half of their July mean rainfall.
- Remaining cropping regions across southern New South Wales, northern Queensland, Victoria, southern Western Australia and parts of South Australia recorded rainfall between 1 to 10 millimetres during the week ending 17 July 2019. Cropping regions in northern New South Wales and southern Queensland received little to no rainfall and dry conditions in these regions have persisted since late March.
- Across Australia’s winter cropping regions, the 8‑day rainfall forecast indicates falls of between 5 and 25 millimetres are expected across areas of southern Victoria, central South Australia and much of Western Australia. Lighter falls of between 1 and 5 millimetres are forecast across cropping regions in southern New South Wales, eastern Queensland, and remaining areas of Western Australia, Victoria and South Australia. Little to no rainfall is expected across the remainder of Queensland and New South Wales.
- Water storage levels in the Murray-Darling Basin (MDB) decreased between 10 July and 15 July 2019 by 1 gigalitre (GL). Current volume of water held in storage is 8,968 GL which represents 35% of total capacity. This is 35% or 4,835 GL less than at the same time last year.
- Allocation prices in the southern Murray-Darling Basin remained steady this week at around $620 per ML.
Climate
[expand all]
Rainfall this week
During the week ending 17 July 2019 rainfall was mainly restricted to south-eastern and north-eastern Australia. Little to no rainfall was recorded across the rest of Australia.
Rainfall of between 10 to 25 millimetres was recorded across winter cropping regions in the far south of New South Wales, large areas of Victoria, and parts of South Australia during the week ending 17 July 2019. These regions are well on track to record average rainfall totals for July, with most areas already registering at least half of their July mean rainfall. Timely and sufficient rainfall will continue to be important for potential crop yield in these regions as the season progresses, particularly during flowering and grain fill in spring.
Remaining cropping regions across southern New South Wales, northern Queensland, Victoria, southern Western Australia and parts of South Australia recorded rainfall between 1 to 10 millimetres during the week ending 17 July 2019. Northern New South Wales and southern Queensland continue to record little to no rainfall, dry conditions in these regions have persisted since late March.
Rainfall for the week ending 17 July 2019
©Commonwealth of Australia 2019, Australian Bureau of Meteorology - Issued: 17/07/2019
Note: The rainfall analyses and associated maps utilise data contained in the Bureau of Meteorology climate database, the Australian Data Archive for Meteorology (ADAM). The analyses are initially produced automatically from real-time data with limited quality control. They are intended to provide a general overview of rainfall across Australia as quickly as possible after the observations are received. For further information go to Weekly Rainfall Update.
Temperature anomalies this week
For the week ending 16 July 2019, maximum temperatures were 2°C to 4°C above average across parts of Western Australia, and minimum temperatures were 2°C to 4°C above average across parts of south-eastern and northern Australia. In contrast, minimum temperatures were - 2°C to - 4°C below average across a small part of eastern Australia. Average (- 2°C to 2°C) minimum and maximum temperatures were recorded across the remainder of the country.
Maximum temperature anomalies for the week ending 16 July 2019
©Commonwealth of Australia 2019, Australian Bureau of Meteorology - Issued: 17/07/2019
Minimum temperature anomalies for the week ending 16 July 2019
©Commonwealth of Australia 2019, Australian Bureau of Meteorology - Issued: 17/07/2019
Note: Spatial temperature analyses are based on historical weekly temperature data provided by the Bureau of Meteorology. These temperature anomaly maps show the departure of the maximum and minimum temperatures from the average over the 1961 to 1990 reference period. For further information go to Daily maximum temperature for Australia.
Rainfall forecast for the next 8 days
Over the next eight days, rainfall is expected to be mainly restricted to the far south-east and south-west of Australia, with little to no rainfall forecast for most of the country.
Rainfall of between 10 and 50 millimetres is forecast for isolated areas of southern New South Wales, southern Victoria, south-eastern South Australia and south-western Western Australia. Rainfall of between 10 and 150 millimetres is forecast for Tasmania.
In cropping regions, rainfall of between 5 and 25 millimetres is expected across areas of southern Victoria, central South Australia and much of Western Australia. Lighter falls of between 1 and 5 millimetres are forecast across cropping regions in southern New South Wales, eastern Queensland, and remaining areas of Western Australia, Victoria and South Australia. Little to no rainfall is expected across the remainder of Queensland and New South Wales.
Total forecast rainfall (mm) for the period 18 July to 25 July 2019
©Commonwealth of Australia 2019, Australian Bureau of Meteorology - Issued: 18/07/2019
Note: This rainfall forecast is produced from computer models. As the model outputs are not altered by weather forecasters, it is important to check local forecasts and warnings issued by the Bureau of Meteorology.
Commodities
Current indicators – 18 July 2019
| Indicator | Week ended | Unit | Latest price | Price week prior | Weekly change | Price 12 months prior | Year on year change | Chart |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Selected World Indicator Prices |
||||||||
| Australian Dollar – AUD/USD Exchange Rate | 17-Jul | US$/A$ | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0% | 0.74 | -5% |
chart |
| Wheat – US no. 2 hard red winter wheat, fob Gulf | 16-Jul | US$/t | 223 | 221 | <1% |
228 | -2% |
chart |
| Coarse Grains – US no. 2 yellow corn, fob Gulf | 17-Jul | US$/t | 196 | 191 | 3% |
153 | 28% |
chart |
| Canola – Rapeseed, Europe, fob Hamburg | 16-Jul | US$/t | 407 | 402 | 1% |
426 | -4% |
chart |
| Cotton – Cotlook 'A' Index | 17-Jul | USc/lb | 74.4 | 77.8 | -4% |
97.3 | -24% |
chart |
| Sugar – Intercontinental Exchange, nearby futures, no.11 contract | 17-Jul | USc/lb | 12.3 | 12.4 | <1% |
11.1 | 11% |
chart |
| Wool – Eastern Market Indicator | 11-Jul | Ac/kg clean | 1,754 | 1,723 | 2% |
1,981 | -11% |
chart |
| Wool – Western Market Indicator | 12-Jul | Ac/kg clean | 1,894 | 1,867 | 1% |
2,129 | -11% |
chart |
Selected domestic crop indicator prices |
||||||||
| Milling Wheat – ASW1, track quote, Port Adelaide, SA | 02-Jul | A$/t | 242 | 274 | -12% |
284 | -15% |
chart |
| Feed Wheat – General purpose, Sydney, NSW | 17-Jul | A$/t | 370 | 375 | -1% |
375 | 1% |
chart |
| Feed Barley – Sydney, NSW | 17-Jul | A$/t | 365 | 365 | 0% | - | na | chart |
| Grain Sorghum – Sydney, NSW | 17-Jul | A$/t | 335 | 350 | -4% |
410 | -18% |
chart |
Selected domestic livestock indicator prices |
||||||||
| Beef – Eastern Young Cattle Indicator | 11-Jul | Ac/kg cwt | 516 | 492 | 5% |
503 | 3% |
chart |
| Mutton – Mutton indicator (18–24 kg fat score 2–3), Vic | 12-Jul | Ac/kg cwt | 629 | 597 | 5% |
517 | 22% |
chart |
| Lamb – Eastern States Trade Lamb Indicator | 11-Jul | Ac/kg cwt | 945 | 908 | 4% |
724 | 31% |
chart |
| Pig – Eastern Seaboard (60.1–75 kg), average of buyers & sellers | 05-Jul | Ac/kg cwt | 360 | 357 | <1% |
251 | 43% |
chart |
| Goat – Eastern States (12.1–16 kg) | 15-Jul | Ac/kg cwt | 935 | 935 | 0% | 536 | 74% |
chart |
| Live cattle – Light steers ex Darwin to Indonesia | 06-Jul | Ac/kg lwt | 290 | 290 | 0% | 285 | 2% |
chart |
| Live sheep – Live wether (Muchea WA saleyard) to Middle East | 13-May | $/head | 135 | 110 | 23% |
95 | 42% |
chart |
Global Dairy Trade (GDT) weighted average prices a |
||||||||
| Dairy – Whole milk powder | 16-Jul | US$/t | 3,074 | 2,969 | 4% |
2,973 | 3% |
chart |
| Dairy – Skim milk powder | 16-Jul | US$/t | 2,505 | 2,430 | 3% |
1,959 | 28% |
chart |
| Dairy – Cheddar cheese | 16-Jul | US$/t | 3,869 | 3,756 | 3% |
3,596 | 8% |
chart |
| Dairy – Anhydrous milk fat | 16-Jul | US$/t | 5,523 | 5,433 | 2% |
5,629 | -2% |
chart |
a Global Dairy Trade prices are updated twice monthly on the first and third Tuesday of each month.
Selected world indicator prices
Selected domestic crop indicator prices
Selected domestic livestock indicator prices
Global dairy trade weighted average prices
Movements in selected fruit and vegetable prices
Data attribution
Water
Water storages, water markets and water allocations - current week
The Tableau dashboard may not meet accessibility requirements. For information about the contents of these dashboards contact ABARES.
