Weekly update - 21 November 2019

Weekly Australian Climate,
Water and Agricultural Update

Key issues

  • During the week ending 19 November 2019 rainfall was restricted to isolated areas of southern, eastern and northern Australia.
  • Across cropping regions, rainfall totals of between 1 to 10 millimetres were recorded across parts of northern Queensland. Little to no rainfall was recorded across remaining cropping regions in Queensland, and cropping regions in New South Wales. Victoria, South Australia and Western Australia.
  • For the week ending 19 November 2019, maximum temperatures were 2°C to 12°C above average across large areas of Western Australia and parts of northern and eastern Australia.
  • Ongoing high temperatures, coupled with dry and windy conditions has resulted in sustained very high fire danger levels, and have seen the ignition and continuation of numerous dangerous bushfires over the past week. Daily temperature anomalies in excess of 12°C have also led to harvest delays for this seasons winter crops, with the excessive heat leading to harvest bans across large areas of southern Australia.
  • Over the next eight days, rainfall is likely to be restricted to parts of south-eastern and the far north of Australia.
  • Across Australia’s cropping regions, the 8‑day rainfall forecast indicates that 5 and 15 millimetres are expected across parts of northern New South Wales and southern Queensland. Little to no rainfall is expected across remaining cropping regions.
  • Water storage levels in the Murray-Darling Basin (MDB) decreased between 13 November and 20 November 2019 by 105 gigalitres (GL). Current volume of water held in storage is 9,706 GL which represents 38 per cent of total capacity. This is 24 percentage points or 3,084 GL less than at the same time last year.
  • Allocation prices in the Victorian Murray Below the Barmah Choke decreased from $940 per ML on 14 November 2019 to $925 per ML on 21 November 2019.
  • Allocation prices in the Victorian Murray below the Barmah Choke decreased from $950 per ML on 7 November 2019 to $940 per ML on 14 November 2019.

Climate

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Rainfall this week

During the week ending 19 November 2019 rainfall was restricted to isolated areas of southern, eastern and northern Australia.

Across cropping regions, rainfall totals of between 1 to 10 millimetres were recorded across parts of northern Queensland. Little to no rainfall was recorded across remaining cropping regions in Queensland, and cropping regions in New South Wales. Victoria, South Australia and Western Australia.

Rainfall for the week ending 20 November 2019

Map showing weekly rainfall totals in Australia. Image provided by the Bureau of Meteorology. Please refer to accompanying text for a more detailed description.

©Commonwealth of Australia 2019, Australian Bureau of Meteorology - Issued: 20/11/2019

Note: The rainfall analyses and associated maps utilise data contained in the Bureau of Meteorology climate database, the Australian Data Archive for Meteorology (ADAM). The analyses are initially produced automatically from real-time data with limited quality control. They are intended to provide a general overview of rainfall across Australia as quickly as possible after the observations are received. For further information go to Weekly Rainfall Update.

Temperature anomalies this week

For the week ending 19 November  2019, maximum temperatures were 2°C to 12°C above average across large areas of Western Australia and parts of northern and eastern Australia. In contrast, maximum temperatures were 2°C to 4°C below average across parts of south-eastern Australia and minimum temperatures were 2°C to 6°C below average across large areas of eastern and central Australia.

Ongoing high temperatures, coupled with dry and windy conditions has resulted in sustained very high fire danger levels, and have seen the ignition and continuation of numerous dangerous bushfires over the past week. Daily temperature anomalies in excess of 12°C have also led to harvest delays for this seasons winter crops, with the excessive heat leading to harvest bans across large areas of southern Australia.

Maximum temperature anomalies for the week ending 19 November 2019

Map showing maximum temperature anomalies for Australia. Image provided by the Bureau of Meteorology. Please refer to accompanying text for a more detailed description.

©Commonwealth of Australia 2019, Australian Bureau of Meteorology - Issued: 20/11/2019

Minimum temperature anomalies for the week ending 19 November 2019

Map showing minimum temperature anomalies for Australia. Image provided by the Bureau of Meteorology. Please refer to accompanying text for a more detailed description.

©Commonwealth of Australia 2019, Australian Bureau of Meteorology - Issued: 20/11/2019

Note: Spatial temperature analyses are based on historical weekly temperature data provided by the Bureau of Meteorology. These temperature anomaly maps show the departure of the maximum and minimum temperatures from the average over the 1961 to 1990 reference period. For further information go to Daily maximum temperature for Australia.

Rainfall forecast for the next 8 days

Over the next eight days, rainfall totals of between 5 and 25 millimetres are forecast for parts of south-eastern and the far north of Australia. Higher rainfall totals in excess of 25 millimetres are forecast for parts of north-eastern New South Wales, the far north of the Northern Territory and western Tasmania.

In cropping regions, rainfall of between 5 and 15 millimetres are expected across parts of northern New South Wales and southern Queensland. Little to no rainfall is expected across remaining cropping regions.

Total forecast rainfall (mm) for the period 21 November to 28 November 2019

Map of the total forecast rainfall for the next 8 days. Image provided by the Bureau of Meteorology. Please refer to accompanying text for a more detailed description.

©Commonwealth of Australia 2019, Australian Bureau of Meteorology - Issued: 21/11/2019

Note: This rainfall forecast is produced from computer models. As the model outputs are not altered by weather forecasters, it is important to check local forecasts and warnings issued by the Bureau of Meteorology.

Commodities

Current indicators – 21 November 2019

Indicator Week ended Unit Latest price Price week prior Weekly change Price 12 months prior Year on year change Chart

Selected World Indicator Prices

Australian Dollar – AUD/USD Exchange Rate 20-Nov US$/A$ 0.68 0.68 0% 0.73 -7%This is an image of a white arrow in a red circle indicating a decrease in percentage points. chart
Wheat – US no. 2 hard red winter wheat, fob Gulf 19-Nov US$/t 217 219 <1%This is an image of a white arrow in a red circle indicating a decrease in percentage points. 231 -6%This is an image of a white arrow in a red circle indicating a decrease in percentage points. chart
Coarse Grains – US no. 2 yellow corn, fob Gulf 20-Nov US$/t 165 167 -1%This is an image of a white arrow in a red circle indicating a decrease in percentage points. 160 3%This is an image of an white arrow in a green circle indicating an increase in percentage points. chart
Canola – Rapeseed, Europe, fob Hamburg 19-Nov US$/t 423 422 <1%This is an image of an white arrow in a green circle indicating an increase in percentage points. 427 <1%This is an image of a white arrow in a red circle indicating a decrease in percentage points. chart
Cotton – Cotlook 'A' Index 20-Nov USc/lb 74.9 75.3 <1%This is an image of a white arrow in a red circle indicating a decrease in percentage points. 86.1 -13%This is an image of a white arrow in a red circle indicating a decrease in percentage points. chart
Sugar – Intercontinental Exchange, nearby futures, no.11 contract 20-Nov USc/lb 12.8 12.5 2%This is an image of an white arrow in a green circle indicating an increase in percentage points. 12.7 <1%This is an image of an white arrow in a green circle indicating an increase in percentage points. chart
Wool – Eastern Market Indicator 14-Nov Ac/kg clean 1,574 1,555 1%This is an image of an white arrow in a green circle indicating an increase in percentage points. 1,781 -12%This is an image of a white arrow in a red circle indicating a decrease in percentage points. chart
Wool – Western Market Indicator 15-Nov Ac/kg clean 1,677 1,662 <1%This is an image of an white arrow in a green circle indicating an increase in percentage points. 2,016 -17%This is an image of a white arrow in a red circle indicating a decrease in percentage points. chart

Selected domestic crop indicator prices

Milling Wheat – ASW1, track quote, Port Adelaide, SA 19-Nov A$/t 292 295 -1%This is an image of a white arrow in a red circle indicating a decrease in percentage points. 359 -19%This is an image of a white arrow in a red circle indicating a decrease in percentage points. chart
Feed Wheat – General purpose, Sydney, NSW 20-Nov A$/t 380 380 0% 440 -14%This is an image of a white arrow in a red circle indicating a decrease in percentage points. chart
Feed Barley – Sydney, NSW 20-Nov A$/t 360 360 0% 435 -17%This is an image of a white arrow in a red circle indicating a decrease in percentage points. chart
Grain Sorghum – Sydney, NSW 20-Nov A$/t 385 345 12%This is an image of an white arrow in a green circle indicating an increase in percentage points. 410 -6%This is an image of a white arrow in a red circle indicating a decrease in percentage points. chart

Selected domestic livestock indicator prices

Beef – Eastern Young Cattle Indicator 14-Nov Ac/kg cwt 517 522 <1%This is an image of a white arrow in a red circle indicating a decrease in percentage points. 517 0% chart
Mutton – Mutton indicator (18–24 kg fat score 2–3), Vic 15-Nov Ac/kg cwt 616 607 1%This is an image of an white arrow in a green circle indicating an increase in percentage points. 428 44%This is an image of an white arrow in a green circle indicating an increase in percentage points. chart
Lamb – Eastern States Trade Lamb Indicator 14-Nov Ac/kg cwt 744 759 -2%This is an image of a white arrow in a red circle indicating a decrease in percentage points. 695 7%This is an image of an white arrow in a green circle indicating an increase in percentage points. chart
Pig – Eastern Seaboard (60.1–75 kg), average of buyers & sellers 08-Nov Ac/kg cwt 411 411 0% 280 47%This is an image of an white arrow in a green circle indicating an increase in percentage points. chart
Goat – Eastern States (12.1–16 kg) 18-Nov Ac/kg cwt 852 852 0% 538 58%This is an image of an white arrow in a green circle indicating an increase in percentage points. chart
Live cattle – Light steers ex Darwin to Indonesia 16-Nov Ac/kg lwt 315 315 0% 310 2%This is an image of an white arrow in a green circle indicating an increase in percentage points. chart
Live sheep – Live wether (Muchea WA saleyard) to Middle East 18-Nov $/head 121 122 <1%This is an image of a white arrow in a red circle indicating a decrease in percentage points. 100 21%This is an image of an white arrow in a green circle indicating an increase in percentage points. chart

Global Dairy Trade (GDT) weighted average prices a

Dairy – Whole milk powder 19-Nov US$/t 3,321 3,254 2%This is an image of an white arrow in a green circle indicating an increase in percentage points. 2,599 28%This is an image of an white arrow in a green circle indicating an increase in percentage points. chart
Dairy – Skim milk powder 19-Nov US$/t 3,017 2,924 3%This is an image of an white arrow in a green circle indicating an increase in percentage points. 1,965 54%This is an image of an white arrow in a green circle indicating an increase in percentage points. chart
Dairy – Cheddar cheese 19-Nov US$/t 3,701 3,609 3%This is an image of an white arrow in a green circle indicating an increase in percentage points. 3,252 14%This is an image of an white arrow in a green circle indicating an increase in percentage points. chart
Dairy – Anhydrous milk fat 19-Nov US$/t 5,108 5,191 -2%This is an image of a white arrow in a red circle indicating a decrease in percentage points. 4,577 12%This is an image of an white arrow in a green circle indicating an increase in percentage points. chart

a Global Dairy Trade prices are updated twice monthly on the first and third Tuesday of each month.

Selected world indicator prices
Selected domestic crop indicator prices
Selected domestic livestock indicator prices
Global dairy trade weighted average prices
Movements in selected fruit and vegetable prices
Data attribution

Water

Water storages, water markets and water allocations - current week


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Last reviewed: 5 December 2019
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