Weekly Australian Climate, Water and Agricultural Update, 13 November 2025

Key issues

• In the week ending 12 November 2025, rainfall was recorded across scattered areas of Australia.
  • Across cropping regions, rainfall outcomes were mixed.
    1. For those cropping regions that recorded rainfall this week, it is likely to support production outcomes for winter crops in late development stages but may have continued to disrupt winter crop harvest activities where crops are ready for harvest.
    2. Ongoing dry conditions across northern Victoria, South Australia and southern New South Wales continue to present an increased downside production risk for pastures and winter crops.
• Over the coming eight days to 20 November 2025, limited rainfall is expected across most southern cropping regions, while cropping regions in Queensland and northern New South Wales are likely to see higher rainfall totals.
  • At this late stage of the winter growing season, the light falls forecast for many southern growing regions will be of little benefit to crop and pasture production.
  • If realised the heavier falls forecast in north-eastern cropping regions are expected to disrupt ongoing harvest of winter crops and planting of summer crops in affected regions. However, across summer cropping regions these falls will likely provide a substantial boost to soil moisture levels and support the germination and growth of crops already in the ground.
• The national rainfall outlook for December 2025 to February 2026 indicates an increased probability of above median rainfall across much of eastern Australia.
  • If realised, above median rainfall would support summer pasture growth across eastern Australia. Additionally, these expected above average falls are likely to be sufficient to support above average yield expectations for summer crops.
• Water storage levels in the Murray-Darling Basin (MDB) decreased by 98 gigalitres (GL) between 6 November 2025 and 13 November 2025. The current volume of water held in storages is 14,689 GL, equivalent to 66% of total storage capacity. This is 11 percentage points or 1,821 GL less than the same time last year. Water storage data is sourced from the Bureau of Meteorology.
• Allocation prices in the Victorian Murray below the Barmah Choke decreased from $308/ML on 6 November 2025 to $298/ML on 13 November 2025.