Weekly Australian Climate, Water and Agricultural Update, 27 November 2025

Key issues

• In the week ending 26 November 2025, rainfall was recorded across parts of northern, southern and eastern Australia, while central areas remained comparably dry.
  • Across cropping regions, rainfall totals were low across most south-eastern regions, with heavy falls recorded across the northeast and parts of the southwest.
    • For north-eastern cropping regions these falls have likely boosted soil moisture levels and will support the growth of summer crops already in the ground and encourage further planting, but have likely disrupted harvest of winter crops in these areas.
    • In the eastern Western Australian cropping region, rainfall this week has likely disrupted the harvest of winter crops, but is unlikely to impact crop quality as this stage.
• Over the coming eight days to 4 December 2025, limited rainfall is expected across Western Australia, with higher totals in the southeast and north.
  • At this late stage of the winter growing season, the falls forecast for many south-eastern growing regions are unlikely to boost production, but may alleviate some of the increased downside production risk that has emerged in recent weeks due to dry conditions.
• The national rainfall outlook for December 2025 to February 2026 indicates a decreased probability of above median rainfall across large areas of western and eastern Australia.
  • If realised, this increased chance of below median rainfall across parts of eastern Australia is unlikely to adversely affect summer crop and pasture production due to the average to well above average November rainfall experienced in most regions, which has boosted soil moisture levels.
• Water storage levels in the Murray-Darling Basin (MDB) decreased by 89 gigalitres (GL) between 20 November 2025 and 27 November 2025. The current volume of water held in storages is 14,397 GL, equivalent to 65% of total storage capacity. This is 11% or 1,751 GL less than the same time last year. Water storage data is sourced from the Bureau of Meteorology.
• Allocation prices in the Victorian Murray below the Barmah Choke increased from $304/ML on 20 November 2025 to $311/ML on 27 November 2025. Trade from the Goulburn to the Murray is closed. Trade downstream through the Barmah Choke is closed. Trade from the Murrumbidgee to the Murray is closed.